Ki-67指数对肾上腺皮质癌术后的预后评估价值

马成泉, 周智恩, 张震宇, 等. Ki-67指数对肾上腺皮质癌术后的预后评估价值[J]. 临床泌尿外科杂志, 2022, 37(4): 257-260. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1001-1420.2022.04.003
引用本文: 马成泉, 周智恩, 张震宇, 等. Ki-67指数对肾上腺皮质癌术后的预后评估价值[J]. 临床泌尿外科杂志, 2022, 37(4): 257-260. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1001-1420.2022.04.003
MA Chengquan, ZHOU Zhien, ZHANG Zhenyu, et al. Value of Ki-67 index in evaluating the prognosis of adrenocortical carcinoma after surgery[J]. J Clin Urol, 2022, 37(4): 257-260. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1001-1420.2022.04.003
Citation: MA Chengquan, ZHOU Zhien, ZHANG Zhenyu, et al. Value of Ki-67 index in evaluating the prognosis of adrenocortical carcinoma after surgery[J]. J Clin Urol, 2022, 37(4): 257-260. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1001-1420.2022.04.003

Ki-67指数对肾上腺皮质癌术后的预后评估价值

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Value of Ki-67 index in evaluating the prognosis of adrenocortical carcinoma after surgery

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  • 目的 探索Ki-67指数对肾上腺皮质癌(ACC)术后预后的预测价值。方法 分析2010年1月—2018年1月经术后病理证实的40例ACC患者临床及病理数据。将其分为存活组和死亡组,根据疾病分期、Ki-67免疫组织化学染色和随访结果,利用Cox比例风险回归模型分析Ki-67指数及其联合肿瘤分期对ACC术后的预后影响。结果 共有40例患者纳入研究,存活组患者24例,Ⅲ~Ⅳ期肿瘤分期为33.3%,Ki-67平均指数为17.2%,Ki-67指数>10%者占54.2%。死亡组患者16例,Ⅲ~Ⅳ期肿瘤分期为56.3%,Ki-67平均指数为34.2%,>10%者占93.8%。单因素分析发现,性别、肿瘤直径、分期、Ki-67指数均是影响患者预后的危险因素。当Ki-67指数>10%与≤10%对比HR=10.30(P=0.026)。经多因素分析,Ki-67指数是影响患者预后的独立危险因素,Ki-67指数>10%与≤10%对比HR=13.33(P=0.02)。通过将Ki-67指数与分期联合评估预后价值,C-index显著提高为0.84(95%CI:0.67~1.02),综合判别改善指数(IDI)为0.291(P=0.013)。结论 Ki-67指数是ACC术后患者预后的独立影响因素,其与肿瘤分期联合可以显著提高ACC患者术后预后情况预测能力的评估。
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  • 图 1  ACC免疫组织化学Ki-67指数

    图 2  生存曲线

    图 3  IDI指数的预测

    表 1  40例ACC患者一般资料 例(%)

    分组 存活组(n=24) 死亡组(n=16)
    平均肿瘤直径/cm 8.20 10.91
    平均随访时间/月 32.3(5~101) 37.4(11~74)
    性别
        男 8(33.33) 13(81.25)
        女 16(66.67) 3(18.75)
    年龄
        < 50岁 12(50.00) 11(68.75)
        ≥50岁 12(50.00) 5(31.25)
    直径/cm
        ≤10 20 6
        >10 4 10
    分期
        Ⅰ~Ⅱ 16(66.67) 7(43.75)
        Ⅲ~Ⅳ 8(33.33) 9(56.25)
    Ki-67指数
        ≤10% 11(45.83) 1(6.25)
        >10% 13(54.17) 15(93.75)
    下载: 导出CSV

    表 2  ACC患者总生存的单因素和多因素 Cox 比例风险回归分析

    单因素分析 多因素分析
    HR P HR P
    性别 2.38 0.009 / 0.342
    年龄 / 0.976 / /
    直径 5.01 0.004 / 0.359
    分期 7.22 0.002 7.11 0.004
    Ki-67指数 10.30 0.026 13.33 0.020
    下载: 导出CSV
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出版历程
收稿日期:  2021-08-02
修回日期:  2022-01-25
刊出日期:  2022-04-06

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