Prognostic value of prostate-specific antigen doubling time for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer treated with docetaxel-based chemotherapy
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摘要: 目的:探讨化疗前PSA倍增时间(PSADT)对接受多西他赛化疗的转移性去势抵抗性前列腺癌(mCRPC)患者总生存期(OS)的影响。方法:回顾性分析2005年11月~2011年9月接受多西他赛化疗的115例mCRPC患者资料。115例患者均有骨转移,其中16例患者伴有内脏器官转移。115例随访45(2~74)个月,对可能影响化疗疗效的因素进行单因素生存分析,并对其中有统计学意义的指标进行多因素分析。生存函数分析运用Kapian-Meier法,采用Log-rank法进行显著性检验。结果:至随访截止日期,115例中87例死亡,28例生存。接受多西他赛化疗1~16个疗程,平均6个疗程。全组患者中位OS为(17.0±1.9)个月。单因素生存分析显示:化疗前基线PSA值、化疗前PSADT、基线血红蛋白(Hb)浓度、ECOG评分、激素敏感时间及化疗周期数与mCRPC患者多西他赛化疗后OS相关。化疗前PSADT<46.3 d和PSADT ≥ 46.3 d组中位OS分别为(14.0±2.1)个月和(23.0±2.2)个月(差异有统计学意义,P<0.01)。结论:化疗前PSADT、基线Hb浓度、激素敏感时间及化疗周期数为mCRPC患者多西他赛化疗后OS的独立预后因素。Abstract: Objective: To evaluate the potential value of prostate-specific antigen doubling time (PSADT) in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with docetaxel-based thermotherapy. Method: We retrospectively analyzed the data of 115 consecutive Chinese patients with mCRPC received docetaxel chemotherapy in our institution from Nov. 2005 to Sep. 2011. All 115 patients have bone metastasis, and 16 cases were simultaneously observed to have the presence of visceral metastasis including lung (9 cases), bladder (4 cases), liver (2 cases) and brain (1 case). We retrospectively collected the variables including patient characteristics at diagnosis and characteristics before the start of chemotherapy. All laboratory analyses were performed in the same laboratory. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves, and the differences in overall survival rates were assessed using the log-rank test. Only variables that were statistically significant in the univariate analysis (P<0.05) were included in the multivariate model.Result: The follow-up was performed until April 30, 2012, and median follow-up time was 45.0 months, ranging from 2.0 to 74.0 months. During the follow-up period, 87 of 115 patients (75.7%) died and the median OS for the entire cohort was 17.0 months, ranging from 2.0 to 46.0 months. The average cycles of chemotherapy was 6, ranging from 1 to 16. The univariate analysis identified a total of 6 statistically significant predictors of OS:baseline serum PSA level, PSADT, baseline hemoglobin (Hb) concentration, ECOG PS, time to castration resistance and cycles of chemotherapy. Subsequent multivariate analysis reserved PSADT, baseline Hb concentration, time to castration resistance and cycles of chemotherapy as independent prognostic factors for OS. The median OS for patients with PSADT<46.3 days and those with PSADT ≥ 46.3 days were 14.0 months and 23.0 months, respectively (P<0.01). Conclusion: This retrospective analysis has demonstrated that PSADT, baseline Hb concentration, time to castration resistance and cycles of chemotherapy could provide independent prognostic information of OS in Chinese patients with mCRPC treated with docetaxel. They can be used to optimize management of mCRPC.
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